Posted by: BetRepublic
Tuesday, 26th Jul 2011145 views
The first edition of 2011 NFL Season Win Totals were released Tuesday by the MGM Grand Casino and as online sportsbooks cross the T’s and dot all the I’s on their own copies, we sorted through the odds.
SUPER BOWL CHAMPS
The Green Bay Packers (11.5) are favored to repeat as Super Bowl champs in 2011-12 so it only stands to reason that books are posting the Pack 1.5 wins higher than the team’s 10-6 straight-up (SU) mark from 2010.
BR Says: New Orleans (11-5 SU) cleared its win total by a half-game as the defending champ in 2010, making the Saints the fifth team in the past decade to go "Over" its win total immediately following a Super Bowl victory
New Orleans opened at 10.5 UN (-125) this season, second in the NFC South to the Atlanta Falcons (10.5 UN -115)
Pittsburgh (11 UN -120) is listed at 10 cents less than Baltimore, making the Ravens (11 OV -110) the leader out of the AFC North.
SEEING DOUBLE
Along with the teams listed above, New England (11.5 UN -120), the New York Jets (10 UN -120), San Diego (10 OV -110) and Indianapolis (10 UN -120) make up the AFC six-pack of teams ranked in the double-digits.
Philadelphia (10 OV -120) is the fourth NFC team with a win total of 10 or greater (Packers, Saints, Falcons).
Need to Know: Betting "Over" double-digit win totals the past three seasons produced a record of just 4 overs compared with 10 unders and 1 push
In 2010, bettors hit with the Ravens (12-4 SU) and Saints (11-5 SU) but missed with Dallas (6-10 SU), Indianapolis (10-6 SU) and San Diego (9-7 SU) costing a $100 dollar bettor -$115. Green Bay (10-6 SU) pushed on its closing number of 10 OV (-120).
BetRepublic.com was 3-1 with our SWT predictions in 2010 after a 6-1 finish in 2009. We cleared our three winners last season by an average of 3.3 wins per team but missed with Tennessee (6-10 SU).
Follow all our NFL picks throughout the season and for a look back at the 2010 SWT feature click here
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